Basic Timing Model Portfolio
This model portfolio was originally designed in 1995 for the Nightly Business Report. This model portfolio aims for full investment, but will, at times, accumulate cash. This content differs from the Drach Market Research Time Overlay approach, which is a more in-depth and active investment model published since 1977.
Most recent position change(s): 4/24/26: Sold Tyson Foods Inc Class A (TSN) @64.03, Stepan Co (SCL) @52.06, and Celanese Corp Class A (CE) @ 65.00 Bought Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) @36.74 and The Hershey Co (HSY) @ 191.48 Allocation as of most recent portfolio change (4/24/26)
Basic Summary Relative performance (marked to market) vs. S&P 500 since initiation This Portfolio Model +954% S&P 500 +1323% Portfolio model initiated 5/5/95, archived and marked to market daily. Initial S&P 500 level 520.12, Initial portfolio value $520,120.00. Current portfolio value $5,483,345.11 Current $5,483,320.35 (100%) stock. $24.76 (0%) cash equivalents. Summary of Closed Positions Total Positions 901 Average Position Profit 822 (91%) Percentage +7.70 Loss 79 (9%) Days Held 272 Even 0 ( 0%) Annualized +10.33 These results are reflective as to capital capture and market price of current holdings, itemized on the Positions and Cash Ledger pages. They do not include regular cash dividends, interest earned on cash balances, or transaction costs. Certain special corporate actions will be included. | MODEL PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE Basic Timing Model Portfolio +954% S&P 500 +1323% Since Inception 5/5/1995 Updated 5/8/2026 Current Allocation 100% Stock 0% Cash Downloadable ContentClosed Positions (csv, since 1/6/2014) Cash Ledger (csv, since 12/21/2017) Complete Historycoming soon |